Not a Flaw: Higher Scores for Modern Playersīecause the league has more players these days (deeper rosters and more franchises), the standard deviation naturally shrinks. The stories told by these players can’t necessarily be quantified, even though they largely color our perception of these contributors. Nor do performances that came in crunch-time scenarios. If a player finished mere percentages points outside of the top 25, he still received zero GOAT points for that year. But that decision was made arbitrarily and wasn’t adjusted if the gap between Nos. In the interest of only rewarding “great” seasons, we looked at the top 25 scores from each given campaign. This doesn’t prevent early-era players from operating on the same scale as modern contributors because they’re still only being compared to other men from the same season, but it does keep ring-earning stalwarts such as Bill Russell from rising as high as they otherwise might. A few players (see: Westbrook, Russell) even see their scores boosted by extreme interaction effects between assist percentage and usage rate, as BPM was never intended to handle such high numbers.Īs mentioned in the methodology section, the playoffs were irrelevant before 1973-74 because we don’t have the numbers necessary to calculate impact in the same manner. Scores before 1973-74 are estimated through a correlation with win shares, which allows for some variance as well. Since TPA is derived from box plus/minus, we’re looking only at box-score stats and failing to give players proper credit for solid defensive switching, beneficial picks at the top of the key and so much more. This is by no means a perfect examination of basketball history, so treat it as a baseline if you desire. Sum GOAT points from all seasons to find career scores.Yes, this intentionally discredits players who were slightly above-average contributors for well over a decade, since that’s a feat that should matter more in different conversations. We’re not rewarding consistent goodness, but instead only allowing greatness to contribute toward the all-time conversation.
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